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2024-12-13 23:58:05

Soochow securities Lu Zhe: The Central Economic Work Conference further boosted confidence in the capital market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, believes that the contents of the meeting will face the adverse changes and influences of the internal and external economic environment directly, with more emphasis on the orientation of policy consistency, and policy coordination will be more important next year. Next year, the strength of macro-policies will be significantly increased, and more concrete and operable policy measures will be introduced, which will provide a strong guarantee for the economy to tide over difficulties in the short term and deepen long-term reforms. Lu Zhe said that the Central Economic Work Conference regards "stabilizing the stock market and the property market" as the basic premise of steady growth, which on the one hand shows that the policy pays more attention to the capital market, and on the other hand shows that stabilizing the capital market and the real estate market is an important working means to boost confidence and enhance expectations. Judging from the key work arrangement of the meeting, the combination of "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy" and the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment are expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals, provide more macro liquidity for the market, and guide the confidence stability and profit recovery of the capital market. (SSE)The US dollar index rose by 0.3%, the Japanese yen fell to 153, and the Swiss franc fell by over 0.9%. On Thursday (December 12), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.31% to 107.038 points, and the intraday trading range was 106.354-107.041 points. The whole day showed a volatile upward state, but the European Central Bank announced a rate cut, the US PPI data was released, and Beijing. The Bloomberg dollar index rose by 0.28%, reaching a daily high of 1288.41 points, and then fluctuated upward after reaching a daily low of 1281.12 points at 15:17. The dollar rose 0.14% against the yen to 152.67 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.81-152.77 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0467, the pound fell 0.62% to 1.2673, and the dollar rose 0.93% to 0.8924 against the Swiss franc. Among the commodity currencies, the Australian dollar was roughly flat after falling back against the US dollar, while the New Zealand dollar fell by 0.29% and the US dollar rose by 0.44% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona fell 0.38% against the US dollar, while the Norwegian krona fell 0.26% against the US dollar.Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).


Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).China calls for supporting Afghanistan to rebuild its financial system and eradicate the breeding ground for terrorism. On December 12, local time, the UN Security Council reviewed the situation in Afghanistan, paying attention to the serious restrictions on women's rights and interests in the country and the still insufficient humanitarian funds. The Chinese representative pointed out that Afghanistan is currently at a critical stage of peaceful reconstruction, and the international community should play a better role in solving the outstanding problems facing Afghanistan. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, pointed out that humanitarian relief concerns the vital interests of all Afghan people and must not be used as a bargaining chip for political pressure. China calls on traditional donors to increase capital investment, especially on the United States to unconditionally unfreeze and fully return overseas assets belonging to the Afghan people. Affected by unilateral sanctions, Afghanistan's banking system has been isolated from the international financial system for a long time. Relevant countries should immediately and unconditionally lift illegal unilateral sanctions and support Afghanistan in rebuilding its financial system.Quobly established a strategic cooperative relationship with stmicroelectronics. On December 13th, Quobly, a start-up company of quantum computing, announced that it would cooperate with stmicroelectronics to provide services for customers in the field of electronic applications, so as to mass-produce quantum processor units (QPU). This cooperation will utilize stmicroelectronics's 28nm FD-SOI commercial semiconductor batch manufacturing process. According to the vision of Quobly and stmicroelectronics, the first generation of commercial products will be available in 2027, and the target application market includes material development and system modeling.


The production and transportation capacity is continuously released. The coal supply is guaranteed this winter and next spring. In winter, the heating energy can be greatly improved. As a stabilizer of China's energy supply, coal production, storage and transportation have attracted much attention. At the 2025 National Coal Fair held recently, more than 30 enterprises signed medium-and long-term contracts for coal. Most of the medium-and long-term contracts signed this time are independently connected by the supply and demand sides, and the transaction has a high degree of marketization, which is conducive to the performance of enterprises according to the actual contract volume, and has laid a "reassuring" for coal supply this winter and next spring. The reporter learned from the China Coal Industry Association that in the first 10 months of this year, the national raw coal output above designated size was 3.89 billion tons, up 1.2% year-on-year, and the output reached the highest level in the same period in history. In terms of imports, in the first three quarters, China imported 389 million tons of coal, up 11.9% year-on-year. At the same time, coal storage is also full of confidence. According to the data, at present, the coal storage capacity of power plants nationwide is more than 200 million tons, and the average available days are more than 30 days. (Economic Daily)Market News: The Israeli security cabinet said it would hold a meeting on Sunday to discuss the security development in the West Bank.China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.

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